The Job Market Offers Good News for The Class of 1998
An Industry By Industry Analysis Reveals A High Demand For Graduates Across the Board, Especially Those With Technical And Computer Skills
by Patrick Scheetz and Rebecca Gratz
The condition of the job market is
a reality that must be faced by most new college graduates. Will jobs be
available? Where are they? What skills and capabilities are employers seeking?
These and other concerns weigh heavily on the minds of new graduates.
The annual Recruiting Trends Survey
of 477 businesses, industries, and governmental agencies highlights the
issues, concerns, and perspectives of employers nationwide. This report,
conducted by Michigan State University, provides up-to-date information
for new graduates on what they can expect upon entering the job market.
Employers were asked to comment on their hiring goals and recommended preparation
to ensure that new graduates experience a successful transfer from school
to work.
According to Michigan State University's
Recruiting Trends Survey, there is good news concerning the job
market for job seekers with college degrees. Another increase in hiring
of new college graduates is expected by surveyed employers this year. Approximately
27.5% more new college graduates will be required to fill the positions
available in the surveyed organizations. Job growth for new college graduates
has now been positive for five consecutive years. The following chart shows
the continual growth, which means more job opportunities for new graduates.
An expanding job market for new college
graduates affords greater opportunities for acquiring entry-level assignments
with college degrees. Therefore, more new college graduates should not
be surprised by the job offers they receive this year. In the past, job
offers were not bad, but they should be better this year.
Preparation remains a key to success
for new college graduates in this year's job market. Surveyed employers
commented that new graduates equipped with academic training demanded by
the marketplace and real-world work experiences should be competitive.
Factors Affecting Job Opportunities
This Year
How exactly does the job market affect
a new graduate? Employers will explain that there are certain factors that
will affect the number of job opportunities in a given year. Hiring goals
of employers offering jobs to new college graduates this year (1997-98)
will be influenced by several factors, according to employers. Current
economic conditions and general business expansion were responses common
to several employers.
Continuing growth of the economy:
The economic boom of the late 1990s has been characterized by steady financial
growth and low inflation rates. These factors have supported excellent
job opportunities for new college graduates. The current bright economic
prospects are expected to continue.
However, a small number of employers
warned against too much optimism. They caution that the economy may not
remain stable.
Unemployment rate: Of the
respondents, three cited unemployment as a factor affecting job opportunities.
During the last year from October 1996 to October 1997, the unemployment
rate in the United States declined to 4.7 percent, as reported the Bureau
of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor.1 The unemployment
rate in October was 0.7 percent below a year earlier. From April through
September, the rate ranged from 4.8 to 5.0 percent. It makes sense that
the lower the unemployment rate, the greater the chance is for new college
graduates to obtain jobs. However, not all new graduates may get positions
that require a college degree.
Total employment: In October
1997, total employment in the United States was 129.9 million.2 During
the past year, total employment increased by 2.0 million people. New college
graduates acquired some of these new positions. In addition, growth in
total employment created a greater probability of new graduates obtaining
jobs requiring college degrees. Six employers mentioned increased job growth
as a factor that is positively influencing employment prospects for new
graduates.
Demand for technical graduates:
Demand for technically-trained new college graduates remains very high,
particularly for new graduates with computer skills. According to 11 employers,
it is a seller's market for technical graduates. There is especially
intense competition for talented new technical graduates. In addition,
job opportunities for graduates in high-tech fields are experiencing sustained
growth. The result: demand is outpacing supply for technical graduates.
New technical graduates requested
most frequently by several employers are academic majors in computer and
information sciences; engineering; business management and administrative
services; and the health professions and related sciences.
Year 2000: Employers are searching
for information systems staffs who can help them fix year-2000 problems.3
The focus has been on Cobol, C and C++ source code. There are terrible
predictions of complete shutdowns of businesses and government agencies
on January 1, 2000. Since computers were invented, programmers have designated
only two digits for the year in a date. In many cases, these programs will
not work correctly with dates after December 31, 1999. The challenge for
programmers and employers, who have begun recruiting many new staff for
this project, is to find and redefine programming variables to accommodate
four-digit dates and modify logic to properly calculate dates after January
1, 2000.
New technologies: Computers,
robotics, and other advanced technologies are playing an important role
in the growth of productivity and prosperity experienced by organizations
through the U.S. New graduates prepared for these assignments will reap
the benefits. Other new technologies mentioned by several surveyed employers
included high-tech manufacturing, software and computer-related services,
communication services, wholesale and retail trade of high technology goods,
and biotechnology.
New business growth: Increased
business growth is leading to additional employment opportunities for new
college graduates in numerous surveyed organizations. Signs of business
growth include increased volumes of new work, new products, recent acquisitions,
reduced competition, and growing profits. Other instances of growth are
expansion of business opportunities, backlogs in production facilities,
new contracts, increased sales, rising retail sales, gains in target markets,
and new products released.
Bachelor's graduates decreasing:
Employers were indicating that there were not enough graduates applying
for their job openings. An analysis of the data on anticipated new graduates
suggests that this may be true. Fewer new bachelor's degree graduates may
be available to employers.
For the first time in many years,
the number of new bachelor's degree graduates will decline. In 1996-97,
it is estimated that colleges and universities throughout the United States
granted approximately 1, 183,000 bachelor's degrees.4 In 1997-98, 1,169,000
bachelor's graduates are expected to receive degrees. This anticipated
decrease of 1.2% in bachelor's degree recipients would inevitably have
an influence on the job market for new college graduates. Fewer new bachelor's
degree graduates will yield more job openings for each new graduate.
This decline in new bachelor's graduates
is expected to continue through 1999-2000, when 1,138,000 new bachelor's
recipients are anticipated.
Master's degree graduates are expected
to increase in 1997-98 to approximately 414,000. This is an increase of
1.0% from approximately 410,000 new master's degree recipients in 1996-97.
For doctoral degree graduates, an
increase of 0.7% is expected in 1997-98. Approximately 44,500 new doctoral
degree graduates are expected. In 1996-97, approximately 44,200 doctoral
degrees were granted.
Multicultural workforce: Personnel
employed by most organizations in the future will become much more multicultural
and more gender equal, according to survey respondents. The results will
be increased pressure on colleges and universities to prepare new graduates
representing all ethnic groups and each gender. Likewise, according to
two respondents, recruiters visiting college campuses will be seeking multicultural
representation and gender equity among the new college graduates hired
by their organizations.
Global investments: The era
of growth in global business investments is continuing, as many additional
corporations in the U.S. are becoming multinational. This is creating more
work for more employees on the payrolls of several U.S. corporations. The
challenge for new graduates is accurately determining which organizations
and markets are adapting best and fastest to this new situation.
Competencies and Skills in Highest
Demand
After reviewing the recruitment efforts
of their organizations on college and university campuses last year (1996-97),
67 surveyed employers summarized the job competencies and skill areas that
were hardest to find. Most significant among the abilities and talents
listed by employers were engineering, computer-related occupations, and
a few business and management assignments.
The engineering majors mentioned
most frequently by surveyed employers were: computer engineering, chemical
engineering, mechanical engineering, manufacturing engineering, electrical
engineering, radio frequency engineering, hydraulic engineering, software
engineering, welding engineering, geo-science engineering, petroleum engineering,
analog design for electrical engineering, project engineers, and structural
engineering.
The computer-related occupations
were computer programmers, systems analysts, information technology majors,
visual basic computer programming language, management information systems
majors, computer science, UNIX programmers, C++ programmers, COBOL programmers,
computer aided design (CAD), and networking managers.
The business and management majors
mentioned by employers were accounting, sales and marketing, materials
science majors, MBAs with experience in manufacturing or human resources,
and insurance majors.
The academic skill areas and job
performance competencies cited by employers were writing skills, speaking
and presentation skills, telephone communication skills, supervisory and
management skills, and warehouse management skills. Areas of personal focus
noted by employers were the desire for a long-term commitment, a strong
work ethic, risk takers, solid self-motivation, and new graduates with
common sense.
Importance of Overseas Educational
Experiences
The importance of overseas educational
experiences for college students was accentuated most notably by surveyed
organizations with global commitments in worldwide locations. Of the 147
employers responding, 0.5% reported that overseas educational experiences
had extremely high importance in their organizations when college students
were recruited for full-time positions. Generally speaking, according to
employers rating overseas educational experiences as very high, these experiences
make people more flexible, cooperative, and easier to work with in culturally
diverse work environments.
With more organizations expanding
into worldwide locations, college graduates can expect increased emphasis
on overseas educational experiences by employers. Most notable among recruiters
with global placement opportunities was an increase in demand for second
language skills, especially French, Spanish, and Chinese.
In some organizations, overseas educational
experiences can be a deciding factor in the selection process, if all other
job competencies are satisfied.
Key Factors Considered in Hiring
When surveyed organizations were
conducting interviews with new college graduates on college campuses, certain
key factors were considered as very important during the evaluation process.
The most significant elements of a successful interview were:
Real-world work experiences:
For new college graduates who want to land the top career opportunities
available with prospective employers after graduation, it is very important
that they obtain pre-professional work experiences, relevant cooperative
education assignments, entrepreneurships, internships and /or volunteer
positions that test their potential. Employers are very interested in college
students, who have thoroughly investigated their career alternatives, and
spent significant time on tasks with their preferred career interests.
Technical Skills: A breadth
of technical competence was high on the list of factors examined by employers.
Another dimension of this factor was knowledge of the automated technologies
profession and technical wisdom. New graduates who have the ability to
relate their educational and internship experiences to the employers' world
are highly desired. In addition, an ability to manage different technical
tasks was essential.
Grade Point Averages: One
measure of academic abilities possessed by graduating students is the grade
point average attained. Employers want high grade point averages or growth
during a student's college career. Without other quantities to consider,
employers are limited to use of grade point averages as standards for success
during college and potential for achievement on the job.
Academic Preparation: Especially
meaningful to employers is the academic training received by college students.
Degrees obtained in academic fields related to the employer's job openings
are important. Another key matter is the graduate's raw knowledge.
Leadership Qualities: The
leadership roles held by college students with extra-curricular clubs and
campus activities are clues to job performance potential for employers.
New graduates who have been in leadership positions and can list their
successful accomplishments are more appealing to employers. Experiences
with student publications are favored.
Percent of college expenses paid:
Graduating students who have worked their way through college are winners,
as far as employers are concerned. From the employer's perspective, this
factor is a demonstration of the graduate's work ethic and self-motivation.
Personal Presentation: The
way new graduates reveal themselves to employers during the interview is
important. Personality, maturity, professionalism, personal impact and
hygiene were other examples of personal factors cited by employers.
Attitude: The confidence and
positive attitude displayed by the new graduates are significant too. Employers
report these factors as self-confidence, poise, and self-esteem.
Communication Skills: The
applicant's ability to converse during the interview is critical. Also
important for successful job performance in most organizations are the
abilities to communicate effectively with others, to perform satisfactorily
as a public speaker, to write well, to listen attentively, and to positively
influence others toward achievement of group goals.
Computer Skills: Technical
abilities are investigated by employers throughout the pre-employment process.
During the interviewing phase of recruitment, employers frequently ask
questions related to the graduate's prior experiences with computers, email,
software, and hardware applications.
Problem Analysis and Analytical
Thinking: Another measure used by employers is a graduate's initiative.
Employers want a proven skill, so graduates need to cite examples. Critical
thinking is also measured with problem-solving situations as an element
of interviews.
Customer Service Orientation:
It is important for new graduates to search their prior work experiences
for assignments where their attention to customer needs was tested and
successful. Employers know that customers expect a friendly greeting and
a higher level of satisfaction. Otherwise, the customers will take their
business elsewhere.
Adaptability, Drive and Initiative:
Enthusiastic, bright, and energetic, but humble, were other words used
by employers to describe the new graduates they are seeking. Employers
want new graduates who will fit within their corporate culture.
Proven Track Record: Employers
are searching the answers given by new graduates in interviews for documented
evidence of the applicant's previous conduct on the job, successful work
performance behaviors, and abilities to get excellent work results.
Ability to Learn: Employers
considered incidents cited by new graduates about prior work situations
that demonstrated an ability to learn important. According to recruiters,
new hires in their organizations will encounter numerous predicaments in
the normal flow of their work activities, which will require an enthusiastic
eagerness to acquire new knowledge or master additional understanding.
Preparation for Interviewing:
If new graduates expect to be successful when interviewing, they must be
prepared. An ample knowledge about the organization conducting the interview
is a necessity. Be on time for the interview. Be familiar with the work
performed by the employers, dress the part, ask for the job, and ask good,
intelligent questions.
Passion for Work: A convincing
work ethic is desired. Employers wish to determine if new graduates want
to work or just get paid. Employers are requesting new graduates who enjoy
working, thinking, listening, and expressing themselves.
Career Interests: Employers
plead for new graduates who are organized and not lost. New graduates ought
to have a serious interest in the career opportunities offered by employers.
The employers want new hires, who are highly motivated, because they want
the new graduates to develop successful careers in their chosen professions.
Realistic expectations are desirable too. Employers want new graduates
who are goal driven and interested in the career offerings provided by
the employers.
Changes in Recruitment Caused
by the Internet
Several changes have occurred in
the campus recruitment efforts of surveyed organizations because of information
obtained from the Internet
Because of the Internet and web sites,
brochures and campus information sessions are less important, although
employers have more visibility on campuses. Graduating students can go
to an organization's web site for most information. Prior to campus interviews,
graduating students are more knowledgeable about an organization, which
maintains a web site. According to employers, the Internet is an excellent
resource for helping graduating students understand an organization. Thus,
more advertising money is directed at the web, and less is focused on the
print media. The web site and email addresses for organizations are provided
on all information given to graduating students.
Works Cited
Scheetz, L. Patrick, Ph.D.
Recruiting Trends 1997-98. A Study of Businesses, Industries, and Governmental
Agencies Employing New College Graduates, 27th Edition. Collegiate Employment
Research Institute: Michigan State University, 1997.
-
Bureau of Labor Statistics. 1997.
Economy at a Glance. http://stats.bls.gov: 80/eag.table.shtml.
-
Bureau of Labor Statistics. 1997.
Employment Situation Summary. http://stats.bls.gov/newsrels.htm.
-
Maney, Kevin. 1997. Lawyers Circling
Over 2000 Time Bomb, USA Today. 1 December, p. B1.
-
National Center for Education Statistics.
1997. Projections of Education Statistics to 2007. 26th Edition. Washington,
DC: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Educational Research and Improvement
(NCES 97-382).
L. Patrick Scheetz Ph.D., is director
of the Collegiate Employment Research Institute and assistant director
of Career Services and Placement at Michigan State University. He is the
author of the annual Recruiting Trends report published at Michigan State
University.
Rebecca A. Gratz is a graduate student
at Michigan State University completing a master's degree in Labor and
Industrial Relations/ Human Resources.
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